Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a passing frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed for Tokyo on August 29. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global forecasts converge on a minimum near 21–23°C, with slight variations arising from differences in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind strength. This range sits close to long-term August normals but cooler than recent muggy nights, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 21–23°C while assigning lower probability to extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の東京の最低気温は？
8月29日の東京の最低気温は？
22°C 46%
21°C 35%
23°C 32%
24°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
19°C or below
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
32%
24°C
12%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
21°C 35%
23°C 32%
24°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
19°C or below
$155 Vol.
2%
20°C
$22 Vol.
6%
21°C
$225 Vol.
27%
22°C
$182 Vol.
28%
23°C
$437 Vol.
32%
24°C
$162 Vol.
12%
25°C
$227 Vol.
5%
26°C
$219 Vol.
1%
27°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$278 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a passing frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed for Tokyo on August 29. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global forecasts converge on a minimum near 21–23°C, with slight variations arising from differences in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind strength. This range sits close to long-term August normals but cooler than recent muggy nights, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 21–23°C while assigning lower probability to extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,408終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a passing frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed for Tokyo on August 29. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global forecasts converge on a minimum near 21–23°C, with slight variations arising from differences in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind strength. This range sits close to long-term August normals but cooler than recent muggy nights, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 21–23°C while assigning lower probability to extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,408終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds associated with a passing frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures suppressed for Tokyo on August 29. Official guidance and ensemble models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global forecasts converge on a minimum near 21–23°C, with slight variations arising from differences in timing of heaviest precipitation and wind strength. This range sits close to long-term August normals but cooler than recent muggy nights, explaining why market-implied odds cluster tightly around 21–23°C while assigning lower probability to extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening will refine the exact low before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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