**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F (around 76–77°F) for Austin on August 30 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F.** This pattern, typical of late-summer high pressure over Texas, limits radiational cooling while urban heat island effects and minimal wind further moderate the minimum. Recent hot conditions (highs near 99–101°F) have kept overnight recoveries elevated, with no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Market-implied odds show a relatively even spread across bins from the mid-60s upward because traders weigh small forecast uncertainties—such as exact timing of clearing, localized wind shifts, or station-specific readings at Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry—against the strong model consensus for mid-70s values. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のオースティンの最低気温は？
8月30日のオースティンの最低気温は？
67°F以下 69%
72～73°F 27%
74～75°F 27%
76〜77°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
67°F以下
69%
68〜69°F
26%
70〜71°F
26%
72～73°F
27%
74～75°F
27%
76〜77°F
27%
78～79°F
25%
80〜81°F
12%
82〜83°F
2%
84～85°F
8%
86°F以上
7%
67°F以下 69%
72～73°F 27%
74～75°F 27%
76〜77°F 27%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
67°F以下
$25 Vol.
69%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
27%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
25%
80〜81°F
$6 Vol.
12%
82〜83°F
$37 Vol.
2%
84～85°F
$24 Vol.
8%
86°F以上
$15 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F (around 76–77°F) for Austin on August 30 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F.** This pattern, typical of late-summer high pressure over Texas, limits radiational cooling while urban heat island effects and minimal wind further moderate the minimum. Recent hot conditions (highs near 99–101°F) have kept overnight recoveries elevated, with no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Market-implied odds show a relatively even spread across bins from the mid-60s upward because traders weigh small forecast uncertainties—such as exact timing of clearing, localized wind shifts, or station-specific readings at Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry—against the strong model consensus for mid-70s values. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$108終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F (around 76–77°F) for Austin on August 30 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F.** This pattern, typical of late-summer high pressure over Texas, limits radiational cooling while urban heat island effects and minimal wind further moderate the minimum. Recent hot conditions (highs near 99–101°F) have kept overnight recoveries elevated, with no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Market-implied odds show a relatively even spread across bins from the mid-60s upward because traders weigh small forecast uncertainties—such as exact timing of clearing, localized wind shifts, or station-specific readings at Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry—against the strong model consensus for mid-70s values. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$108終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET**Consensus forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F (around 76–77°F) for Austin on August 30 under clear skies, light southerly flow, and a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F.** This pattern, typical of late-summer high pressure over Texas, limits radiational cooling while urban heat island effects and minimal wind further moderate the minimum. Recent hot conditions (highs near 99–101°F) have kept overnight recoveries elevated, with no approaching cold front or significant cloud cover to alter the trajectory. Market-implied odds show a relatively even spread across bins from the mid-60s upward because traders weigh small forecast uncertainties—such as exact timing of clearing, localized wind shifts, or station-specific readings at Bergstrom versus Camp Mabry—against the strong model consensus for mid-70s values. Upcoming evening model updates and surface observations will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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