**Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely fall in the 23–26°C range, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by a moist southerly flow and high humidity near 90–95%, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows light winds (5–10 mph) reducing mixing, while urban heat island effects in Tokyo add a small warming bias. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow an extra 1–2°C drop; updated model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this spread as the date approaches. Historical September minima average near 21–22°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor the warmer side of the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日の東京の最低気温は？
9月8日の東京の最低気温は？
25°C 39%
24℃ 27%
26℃ 23%
22℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
20°C以下
3%
21℃
7%
22℃
14%
23℃
11%
24℃
27%
25°C
39%
26℃
23%
27°C
10%
28℃
14%
29℃
4%
30℃以上
1%
25°C 39%
24℃ 27%
26℃ 23%
22℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
20°C以下
$245 Vol.
3%
21℃
$31 Vol.
7%
22℃
$0 Vol.
14%
23℃
$54 Vol.
11%
24℃
$52 Vol.
27%
25°C
$28 Vol.
39%
26℃
$201 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28℃
$0 Vol.
14%
29℃
$6 Vol.
4%
30℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely fall in the 23–26°C range, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by a moist southerly flow and high humidity near 90–95%, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows light winds (5–10 mph) reducing mixing, while urban heat island effects in Tokyo add a small warming bias. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow an extra 1–2°C drop; updated model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this spread as the date approaches. Historical September minima average near 21–22°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor the warmer side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$617終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely fall in the 23–26°C range, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by a moist southerly flow and high humidity near 90–95%, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows light winds (5–10 mph) reducing mixing, while urban heat island effects in Tokyo add a small warming bias. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow an extra 1–2°C drop; updated model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this spread as the date approaches. Historical September minima average near 21–22°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor the warmer side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$617終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Recent forecasts from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency, WeatherBug, and Yr.no indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 8 will likely fall in the 23–26°C range, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 24°C, 25°C, and 26°C.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, driven by a moist southerly flow and high humidity near 90–95%, limit nighttime radiative cooling and keep temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus shows light winds (5–10 mph) reducing mixing, while urban heat island effects in Tokyo add a small warming bias. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any brief clearing windows that could allow an extra 1–2°C drop; updated model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this spread as the date approaches. Historical September minima average near 21–22°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor the warmer side of the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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