Strong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
9月2日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
15°C 46.6%
17°C or higher 42.0%
16°C 41.1%
13°C 1%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
7°C or below
-
8°C
-
9°C
-
10°C
-
11°C
-
12°C
-
13°C
1%
14°C
-
15°C
47%
16°C
41%
17°C or higher
42%
15°C 46.6%
17°C or higher 42.0%
16°C 41.1%
13°C 1%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
7°C or below
$31 Vol.
-
8°C
$11 Vol.
-
9°C
$10 Vol.
-
10°C
$10 Vol.
-
11°C
$10 Vol.
-
12°C
$0 Vol.
-
13°C
$169 Vol.
1%
14°C
$5 Vol.
-
15°C
$10 Vol.
47%
16°C
$10 Vol.
41%
17°C or higher
$18 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$285終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$285終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETStrong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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