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Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 92%

Robert Lulgjuraj 4.0%

Casey Armitage <1%

Justin Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$20,537 Vol.

Mike Bouchard 92%

Robert Lulgjuraj 4.0%

Casey Armitage <1%

Justin Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$20,537 Vol.

Mike Bouchard

$7,062 Vol.

92%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$5,634 Vol.

4%

Casey Armitage

$3,292 Vol.

<1%

Justin Kirk

$1,755 Vol.

<1%

Steven Elliott

$2,794 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,537
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$20,537
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MI-10 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Mike Bouchard」で92%、次いで「Robert Lulgjuraj」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、92¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に92%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MI-10 Republican Primary Winner」は$20.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MI-10 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MI-10 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Mike Bouchard」で92%であり、市場がこの結果に92%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Robert Lulgjuraj」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MI-10 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。