New Jersey's 10th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results in presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver, who won a 2024 special election after the death of Representative Donald Payne Jr., holds endorsements from major county party organizations ahead of the June 2 primary. These elements, combined with limited Republican infrastructure in the urban areas of Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, sustain the current trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A meaningful challenge would require either a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns or an unusually strong GOP nominee who narrows the typical 30-plus-point margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,557 Vol.
93%
共和党
$10,210 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 10th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results in presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver, who won a 2024 special election after the death of Representative Donald Payne Jr., holds endorsements from major county party organizations ahead of the June 2 primary. These elements, combined with limited Republican infrastructure in the urban areas of Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, sustain the current trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A meaningful challenge would require either a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns or an unusually strong GOP nominee who narrows the typical 30-plus-point margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$21,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 10th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results in presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver, who won a 2024 special election after the death of Representative Donald Payne Jr., holds endorsements from major county party organizations ahead of the June 2 primary. These elements, combined with limited Republican infrastructure in the urban areas of Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, sustain the current trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A meaningful challenge would require either a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns or an unusually strong GOP nominee who narrows the typical 30-plus-point margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 10th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+27 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results in presidential and congressional contests. Incumbent Democrat LaMonica McIver, who won a 2024 special election after the death of Representative Donald Payne Jr., holds endorsements from major county party organizations ahead of the June 2 primary. These elements, combined with limited Republican infrastructure in the urban areas of Essex, Union, and Hudson counties, sustain the current trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory on November 3. A meaningful challenge would require either a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns or an unusually strong GOP nominee who narrows the typical 30-plus-point margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問