LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$50,537 Vol.
$50,537 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラモニカ・マクアイバー（民主党）
95%
カルメン・ブッコ（共和党）
4%
$50,537 Vol.
$50,537 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラモニカ・マクアイバー（民主党）
$14,025 Vol.
95%
カルメン・ブッコ（共和党）
$36,511 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$50,537終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$50,537終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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