New York’s 10th Congressional District features overwhelming Democratic registration advantages and a consistent record of lopsided general-election results, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman secured reelection with more than 80 percent of the vote in 2024, and forecasters across major outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The June 23 primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet the district’s entrenched partisan lean limits any general-election shift. A realistic challenge to the current odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national midterm swing toward Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of mobilizing crossover support in lower Manhattan and Brooklyn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,999 Vol.
$43,999 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$43,999 Vol.
$43,999 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,869 Vol.
95%
共和党
$32,130 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th Congressional District features overwhelming Democratic registration advantages and a consistent record of lopsided general-election results, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman secured reelection with more than 80 percent of the vote in 2024, and forecasters across major outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The June 23 primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet the district’s entrenched partisan lean limits any general-election shift. A realistic challenge to the current odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national midterm swing toward Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of mobilizing crossover support in lower Manhattan and Brooklyn.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$43,999終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th Congressional District features overwhelming Democratic registration advantages and a consistent record of lopsided general-election results, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman secured reelection with more than 80 percent of the vote in 2024, and forecasters across major outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The June 23 primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet the district’s entrenched partisan lean limits any general-election shift. A realistic challenge to the current odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national midterm swing toward Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of mobilizing crossover support in lower Manhattan and Brooklyn.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,999終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 10th Congressional District features overwhelming Democratic registration advantages and a consistent record of lopsided general-election results, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Dan Goldman secured reelection with more than 80 percent of the vote in 2024, and forecasters across major outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The June 23 primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee, yet the district’s entrenched partisan lean limits any general-election shift. A realistic challenge to the current odds would require an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national midterm swing toward Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican nominee capable of mobilizing crossover support in lower Manhattan and Brooklyn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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