TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
17%
$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,772 Vol.
83%
民主党
$8,852 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$14,624終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,624終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-10's strong Republican lean, spanning affluent Houston suburbs to Austin-area counties like Brazos, underpins trader consensus at 83% for the Republican Party in the open-seat House race, following incumbent Michael McCaul's 2025 retirement announcement. Chris Gober, the Trump-endorsed attorney who secured the GOP nomination with 51% in the March 3 primary—avoiding a runoff—faces Democrat Caitlin Rourk, who won her primary amid low Democratic turnout typical for this Solid R district per Cook ratings. With no major developments since primaries and historical GOP dominance (prior margins over 20 points), odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of the November 3 general election, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問