Claire Valdez secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th congressional district, finishing with roughly 56 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso’s 36 percent. Strong endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Senator Bernie Sanders, and progressive networks helped Valdez consolidate support among DSA-aligned and working-class voters in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods. Reynoso’s backing from retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez and Attorney General Letitia James failed to close the gap despite his higher profile. With final certified results still pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to a margin exceeding 15 points, though late shifts in vote counting or legal challenges could theoretically narrow the recorded spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日バルデス 15%以上 98.8%
バルデス 10〜15% 2.4%
その他 <1%
バルデス 5~10% <1%
$40,286 Vol.
$40,286 Vol.
バルデス 15%以上
99%
バルデス 10〜15%
2%
バルデス 5~10%
<1%
バルデス <5%
<1%
その他
<1%
バルデス 15%以上 98.8%
バルデス 10〜15% 2.4%
その他 <1%
バルデス 5~10% <1%
$40,286 Vol.
$40,286 Vol.
バルデス 15%以上
99%
バルデス 10〜15%
2%
バルデス 5~10%
<1%
バルデス <5%
<1%
その他
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日: Jun 18, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-07 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claire Valdez secured a commanding lead in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York’s 7th congressional district, finishing with roughly 56 percent of the vote against Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso’s 36 percent. Strong endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Senator Bernie Sanders, and progressive networks helped Valdez consolidate support among DSA-aligned and working-class voters in Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods. Reynoso’s backing from retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez and Attorney General Letitia James failed to close the gap despite his higher profile. With final certified results still pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to a margin exceeding 15 points, though late shifts in vote counting or legal challenges could theoretically narrow the recorded spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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