Perplexity's explicit 2028 IPO timeline, confirmed by CEO Aravind Srinivas in June 2026, is the dominant factor behind the 65% market-implied odds of no listing before then. The AI search startup continues raising private capital at a roughly $20 billion valuation, most recently in a 2025 Series E round, while reporting strong revenue growth to around $500 million annualized by early 2026 and expanding its large language model-powered answer engine user base. Traders appear to view the company as prioritizing further scaling in a competitive landscape against OpenAI and Anthropic rather than accelerating a public debut, with the remaining probability spread thinly across post-2028 valuation buckets reflecting uncertainty over eventual market conditions and execution milestones.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Perplexity IPOクロージング時価総額
2028年以前にIPOなし 65%
500億〜750億 7.4%
750億~1,000億ドル 6.9%
<200億ドル 6.3%
$146,860 Vol.
$146,860 Vol.
<200億ドル
6%
200億〜300億ドル
5%
300億〜400億ドル
5%
400億~500億
5%
500億〜750億
7%
750億~1,000億ドル
7%
1000億ドル超
5%
2028年以前にIPOなし
65%
2028年以前にIPOなし 65%
500億〜750億 7.4%
750億~1,000億ドル 6.9%
<200億ドル 6.3%
$146,860 Vol.
$146,860 Vol.
<200億ドル
6%
200億〜300億ドル
5%
300億〜400億ドル
5%
400億~500億
5%
500億〜750億
7%
750億~1,000億ドル
7%
1000億ドル超
5%
2028年以前にIPOなし
65%
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Perplexity's explicit 2028 IPO timeline, confirmed by CEO Aravind Srinivas in June 2026, is the dominant factor behind the 65% market-implied odds of no listing before then. The AI search startup continues raising private capital at a roughly $20 billion valuation, most recently in a 2025 Series E round, while reporting strong revenue growth to around $500 million annualized by early 2026 and expanding its large language model-powered answer engine user base. Traders appear to view the company as prioritizing further scaling in a competitive landscape against OpenAI and Anthropic rather than accelerating a public debut, with the remaining probability spread thinly across post-2028 valuation buckets reflecting uncertainty over eventual market conditions and execution milestones.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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