Skip to main content
icon for ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者

ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者

icon for ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者

ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者

ケイコ・フジモリ 99.8%

ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ <1%

リカルド・ベルモント <1%

ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 Vol.

ケイコ・フジモリ 99.8%

ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ <1%

リカルド・ベルモント <1%

ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ <1%

Polymarket

$2,561,354 Vol.

icon for ケイコ・フジモリ

ケイコ・フジモリ

$945,470 Vol.

100%

icon for ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ

ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ

$386,271 Vol.

<1%

icon for リカルド・ベルモント

リカルド・ベルモント

$204,210 Vol.

<1%

icon for ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ

ロベルト・サンチェス・パロミノ

$219,739 Vol.

<1%

icon for ウラジミール・セロン

ウラジミール・セロン

$23,181 Vol.

<1%

icon for フィオレラ・モリネッリ

フィオレラ・モリネッリ

$20,542 Vol.

<1%

icon for カルロス・エスパ

カルロス・エスパ

$39,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヨンヒ・レスカーノ

ヨンヒ・レスカーノ

$26,878 Vol.

<1%

icon for ロベルト・キアブラ

ロベルト・キアブラ

$19,821 Vol.

<1%

icon for ホセ・ウィリアムズ

ホセ・ウィリアムズ

$24,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for フェルナンド・オリベラ

フェルナンド・オリベラ

$19,372 Vol.

<1%

icon for ラファエル・ベラウンデ・リョサ

ラファエル・ベラウンデ・リョサ

$27,488 Vol.

<1%

icon for マリソル・ペレス・テロ

マリソル・ペレス・テロ

$41,515 Vol.

<1%

icon for マリオ・ビスカラ

マリオ・ビスカラ

$16,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for セサル・アクーニャ

セサル・アクーニャ

$23,764 Vol.

<1%

icon for ホセ・ルナ

ホセ・ルナ

$13,835 Vol.

<1%

icon for ホルヘ・ニエト

ホルヘ・ニエト

$195,412 Vol.

<1%

icon for ウォルフガング・グロゾ

ウォルフガング・グロゾ

$17,108 Vol.

<1%

icon for カルロス・アルバレス

カルロス・アルバレス

$159,265 Vol.

<1%

icon for アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ

アルフォンソ・ロペス・チャウ

$106,007 Vol.

<1%

icon for ジョージ・フォルサイス

ジョージ・フォルサイス

$10,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for エンリケ・バルデルラマ

エンリケ・バルデルラマ

$8,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for メシアス・ゲバラ

メシアス・ゲバラ

$11,193 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead in the April 12-13 first-round vote, with nearly all ballots counted and official results confirming her position well ahead of other candidates. This outcome reflects her established base within conservative and Fujimorista voters, combined with a fragmented field that prevented any challenger from consolidating support. Traders price the market near certainty because electoral authorities have tallied over 99 percent of votes without altering the ranking. Potential shifts remain limited to delayed certification or narrow procedural disputes, though the margin makes reversal improbable before the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
音量
$2,561,354
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding lead in the April 12-13 first-round vote, with nearly all ballots counted and official results confirming her position well ahead of other candidates. This outcome reflects her established base within conservative and Fujimorista voters, combined with a fragmented field that prevented any challenger from consolidating support. Traders price the market near certainty because electoral authorities have tallied over 99 percent of votes without altering the ranking. Potential shifts remain limited to delayed certification or narrow procedural disputes, though the margin makes reversal improbable before the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
音量
$2,561,354
終了日
2026/04/12
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てウィンドウ

最終

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者」はPolymarket上の23個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ケイコ・フジモリ」で100%、次いで「ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者」は$2.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている23個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ケイコ・フジモリ」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ラファエル・ロペス・アリアガ」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ペルー大統領選挙第1ラウンド勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。