US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$519,762 Vol.
2026/09/30
August 31
10%
9月30日
22%
12月31日
64%
$519,762 Vol.
August 31
$188,147 Vol.
10%
9月30日
$16,138 Vol.
22%
12月31日
$1,540 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
音量
$519,762終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$519,762終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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