South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4.4〜4.7％ 9.2%
3.5～3.8％ 7.1%
4.7〜5.0％ 3.0%
2.6％未満 0
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
2027/01/20
2.6％未満
26%
2.6～2.9％
27%
2.9～3.2％
45%
3.2～3.5％
35%
3.5～3.8％
16%
3.8〜4.1％
34%
4.1〜4.4％
42%
4.4〜4.7％
9%
4.7〜5.0％
22%
>5.0％
31%
4.4〜4.7％ 9.2%
3.5～3.8％ 7.1%
4.7〜5.0％ 3.0%
2.6％未満 0
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
2027/01/20
2.6％未満
$267 Vol.
26%
2.6～2.9％
$282 Vol.
27%
2.9～3.2％
$369 Vol.
45%
3.2～3.5％
$369 Vol.
35%
3.5～3.8％
$471 Vol.
16%
3.8〜4.1％
$661 Vol.
34%
4.1〜4.4％
$539 Vol.
42%
4.4〜4.7％
$12,095 Vol.
9%
4.7〜5.0％
$373 Vol.
22%
>5.0％
$5,948 Vol.
31%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
マーケット開始日： Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
音量
$21,375終了日
2027/01/20マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
音量
$21,375終了日
2027/01/20マーケット開始日
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa's 2026 inflation outlook reflects heightened uncertainty following the SARB's upward revisions to its annual forecast to 3.7 percent, driven by elevated global oil prices and supply disruptions tied to the Middle East conflict. With the central bank's target now anchored at 3 percent plus or minus 1 percentage point, traders weigh a base-case trajectory near 3.4 percent—supported by subdued food prices and a firmer rand—against upside risks from sustained energy costs that could push readings toward 4 percent or higher in coming quarters. Recent CPI prints easing to 3 percent in February before ticking up modestly underscore the narrow range of outcomes, while downgraded IMF growth projections add to downside pressures on demand-driven inflation. Key swing factors include the duration of geopolitical tensions and upcoming SARB monetary policy committee communications that will clarify the rate path and any second-round effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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