Recent SEC filings show SpaceX targeting an IPO price of $135 per share at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation based on 2025 revenue near $18.7 billion, anchoring trader sentiment around the $100–$200 range. Closely matched leading outcomes reflect uncertainty in final roadshow adjustments, overall market reception, and how Starship flight-test cadence plus Starlink constellation expansion translate into sustained revenue growth. Historical launch success rates above 95 percent and increasing orbital deployment frequency provide a technical baseline, yet model projections for 2026 revenue and valuation multiples remain sensitive to upcoming mission milestones and any regulatory or technical delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日150ドル〜200ドル 42%
No IPO before 2028 1.3%
$100未満 0
100ドル〜150ドル 0
$100未満
40%
100ドル〜150ドル
44%
150ドル〜200ドル
42%
200ドル~250ドル
40%
$250+
40%
No IPO before 2028
1%
150ドル〜200ドル 42%
No IPO before 2028 1.3%
$100未満 0
100ドル〜150ドル 0
$100未満
40%
100ドル〜150ドル
44%
150ドル〜200ドル
42%
200ドル~250ドル
40%
$250+
40%
No IPO before 2028
1%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Jun 10, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The opening share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
If no official opening price for SpaceX’s first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SEC filings show SpaceX targeting an IPO price of $135 per share at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation based on 2025 revenue near $18.7 billion, anchoring trader sentiment around the $100–$200 range. Closely matched leading outcomes reflect uncertainty in final roadshow adjustments, overall market reception, and how Starship flight-test cadence plus Starlink constellation expansion translate into sustained revenue growth. Historical launch success rates above 95 percent and increasing orbital deployment frequency provide a technical baseline, yet model projections for 2026 revenue and valuation multiples remain sensitive to upcoming mission milestones and any regulatory or technical delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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