Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democrats first with roughly 32%, the Sweden Democrats second near 19-20%, and the Moderates third around 17%, establishing the baseline for the September 2026 Riksdag contest. This ordering has held steady through May and early June surveys, with the centre-left opposition bloc maintaining a clear lead over the Tidö government parties. The Moderate Party’s 65% implied probability for third place aligns with its consistent polling position behind the two larger parties, while the Sweden Democrats’ 32% chance reflects residual uncertainty over whether they can close the gap or if the Moderates gain ground. Smaller parties trail further back with limited movement in recent data, keeping their third-place odds minimal. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these standings in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Moderate Party (M) 74%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 24%
Left Party (V) 1.3%
Citizens' Coalition (MED) <1%
$13,748 Vol.
$13,748 Vol.
2026/09/13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
24%
Moderate Party (M)
74%
Centre Party (C)
1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Moderate Party (M) 74%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 24%
Left Party (V) 1.3%
Citizens' Coalition (MED) <1%
$13,748 Vol.
$13,748 Vol.
2026/09/13
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$914 Vol.
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$2,539 Vol.
24%
Moderate Party (M)
$3,549 Vol.
74%
Centre Party (C)
$1,218 Vol.
1%
Left Party (V)
$1,080 Vol.
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,007 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$879 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,262 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,300 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democrats first with roughly 32%, the Sweden Democrats second near 19-20%, and the Moderates third around 17%, establishing the baseline for the September 2026 Riksdag contest. This ordering has held steady through May and early June surveys, with the centre-left opposition bloc maintaining a clear lead over the Tidö government parties. The Moderate Party’s 65% implied probability for third place aligns with its consistent polling position behind the two larger parties, while the Sweden Democrats’ 32% chance reflects residual uncertainty over whether they can close the gap or if the Moderates gain ground. Smaller parties trail further back with limited movement in recent data, keeping their third-place odds minimal. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these standings in the past month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
マーケット開始日： May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
音量
$13,748終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democrats first with roughly 32%, the Sweden Democrats second near 19-20%, and the Moderates third around 17%, establishing the baseline for the September 2026 Riksdag contest. This ordering has held steady through May and early June surveys, with the centre-left opposition bloc maintaining a clear lead over the Tidö government parties. The Moderate Party’s 65% implied probability for third place aligns with its consistent polling position behind the two larger parties, while the Sweden Democrats’ 32% chance reflects residual uncertainty over whether they can close the gap or if the Moderates gain ground. Smaller parties trail further back with limited movement in recent data, keeping their third-place odds minimal. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these standings in the past month.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
音量
$13,748終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Swedish Social Democrats first with roughly 32%, the Sweden Democrats second near 19-20%, and the Moderates third around 17%, establishing the baseline for the September 2026 Riksdag contest. This ordering has held steady through May and early June surveys, with the centre-left opposition bloc maintaining a clear lead over the Tidö government parties. The Moderate Party’s 65% implied probability for third place aligns with its consistent polling position behind the two larger parties, while the Sweden Democrats’ 32% chance reflects residual uncertainty over whether they can close the gap or if the Moderates gain ground. Smaller parties trail further back with limited movement in recent data, keeping their third-place odds minimal. No major campaign events or shifts have altered these standings in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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