Moonshot AI leads trader sentiment for third place among AI agent labs by end of September, driven by the July 2026 launch of its Kimi K3 model—a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight mixture-of-experts system with native vision, a 1-million-token context window, and Agent Swarm orchestration scaling to 300 sub-agents for long-horizon workflows. The release delivered competitive results on agentic benchmarks in coding, research, and tool use, outpacing many peers in practical deployment features like Kimi Work desktop agents and integrations. While leading labs such as Anthropic and OpenAI hold stronger overall positions, Moonshot’s recent open-weight strategy and agent-specific advancements have solidified its edge in this niche ahead of the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Moonshot 85.9%
Z.ai 5.3%
Meta 4.6%
DeepSeek 4.1%
$54,092 Vol.
$54,092 Vol.

Moonshot
86%

Z.ai
5%

Meta
5%

DeepSeek
4%

ミストラル
4%

3%

SpaceXAI
3%

Alibaba
2%

OpenAI
2%

Anthropic
2%

Nvidia
1%

Amazon
1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Baidu
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

マイクロソフト
<1%

美団
<1%
Moonshot 85.9%
Z.ai 5.3%
Meta 4.6%
DeepSeek 4.1%
$54,092 Vol.
$54,092 Vol.

Moonshot
86%

Z.ai
5%

Meta
5%

DeepSeek
4%

ミストラル
4%

3%

SpaceXAI
3%

Alibaba
2%

OpenAI
2%

Anthropic
2%

Nvidia
1%

Amazon
1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Baidu
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

マイクロソフト
<1%

美団
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI leads trader sentiment for third place among AI agent labs by end of September, driven by the July 2026 launch of its Kimi K3 model—a 2.8-trillion-parameter open-weight mixture-of-experts system with native vision, a 1-million-token context window, and Agent Swarm orchestration scaling to 300 sub-agents for long-horizon workflows. The release delivered competitive results on agentic benchmarks in coding, research, and tool use, outpacing many peers in practical deployment features like Kimi Work desktop agents and integrations. While leading labs such as Anthropic and OpenAI hold stronger overall positions, Moonshot’s recent open-weight strategy and agent-specific advancements have solidified its edge in this niche ahead of the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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