Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, features Republican nominee Jon Bonck, who secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, against Democrat Melissa McDonough. The district's suburban Houston footprint in west Harris County and surrounding areas delivered a roughly 20-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, aligning with its R+10 partisan lean and supporting trader consensus on the outcome. Recent polling activity has focused on more competitive Texas districts, with no developments altering the positioning of this race in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,301 Vol.
$24,301 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
89%
民主党
12%
$24,301 Vol.
$24,301 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$16,430 Vol.
89%
民主党
$7,871 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, features Republican nominee Jon Bonck, who secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, against Democrat Melissa McDonough. The district's suburban Houston footprint in west Harris County and surrounding areas delivered a roughly 20-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, aligning with its R+10 partisan lean and supporting trader consensus on the outcome. Recent polling activity has focused on more competitive Texas districts, with no developments altering the positioning of this race in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$24,301終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, features Republican nominee Jon Bonck, who secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, against Democrat Melissa McDonough. The district's suburban Houston footprint in west Harris County and surrounding areas delivered a roughly 20-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, aligning with its R+10 partisan lean and supporting trader consensus on the outcome. Recent polling activity has focused on more competitive Texas districts, with no developments altering the positioning of this race in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,301終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in consistent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid, features Republican nominee Jon Bonck, who secured the nomination after winning the May 2026 primary runoff, against Democrat Melissa McDonough. The district's suburban Houston footprint in west Harris County and surrounding areas delivered a roughly 20-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024, aligning with its R+10 partisan lean and supporting trader consensus on the outcome. Recent polling activity has focused on more competitive Texas districts, with no developments altering the positioning of this race in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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