Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,197 Vol.
$20,197 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
$20,197 Vol.
$20,197 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,009 Vol.
85%
民主党
$7,188 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$20,197終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,197終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classifying it as Safe or Solid Republican following post-2020 redistricting. The open seat, created by Wesley Hunt's retirement to pursue a Senate bid, saw Republican Jon Bonck secure the nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, bolstered by Trump endorsement and fundraising advantages. Democratic candidates including Melissa McDonough face structural barriers in this suburban Houston district, where partisan voting index and historical results favor the GOP nominee by wide margins. Traders price the Republican outcome at 82.5 percent to reflect these entrenched factors, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape before the general election ballot is finalized.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問