The recent partial renewal of the French Senate on September 27 has left the Union Centriste group positioned for a final seat count clustered around its pre-election level of 59, with projections from multiple outlets centering on 56-58 or 58-60 after accounting for confirmed results and the ongoing period for senator affiliations. The right-center majority bloc as a whole experienced modest erosion while retaining control, as Les Républicains absorbed larger losses and the National Rally formed its first parliamentary group with 14 seats; these shifts occurred through indirect voting by local officials across 178 contested seats. Trader consensus in the 56-58 and 59-61 ranges reflects this stability for the centrist group allied with the Republicans, tempered by uncertainty over post-election ralliements that could adjust totals before final group composition is set. Historical patterns of limited net movement in Senate groups after such renewals further support these narrower bands over wider deviations.