Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 have kept those companies at the forefront of major leaderboards such as the Intelligence Index and Chatbot Arena, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 rollout in early May added fresh competition in real-time reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 variants continue to post strong results on coding and multimodal benchmarks, creating a tight multi-leader race heading into late June. With no frontier-scale launches scheduled before the resolution date, trader sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark updates and any surprise capability demonstrations that could shift relative positioning among these four labs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,563,314 Vol.

Mistral
18%

OpenAI
11%

xAI
5%

Meta
4%

バイドゥ
3%

Z.ai
2%

DeepSeek
2%

アリババ
2%

Nvidia
2%

Meituan
1%
$1,563,314 Vol.

Mistral
18%

OpenAI
11%

xAI
5%

Meta
4%

バイドゥ
3%

Z.ai
2%

DeepSeek
2%

アリババ
2%

Nvidia
2%

Meituan
1%
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
マーケット開始日: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases of OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 series and Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 have kept those companies at the forefront of major leaderboards such as the Intelligence Index and Chatbot Arena, while xAI’s Grok 4.3 rollout in early May added fresh competition in real-time reasoning and agentic tasks. Google’s Gemini 3.1 variants continue to post strong results on coding and multimodal benchmarks, creating a tight multi-leader race heading into late June. With no frontier-scale launches scheduled before the resolution date, trader sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark updates and any surprise capability demonstrations that could shift relative positioning among these four labs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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