OpenAI's dominant 96.8% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its latest DALL-E advancements and seamless integration with leading large language models, which have delivered superior prompt adherence, image quality, and multimodal capabilities compared to rivals. This edge stems from recent official releases and benchmark leadership that have reinforced OpenAI's competitive position in the AI ecosystem. With resolution at month-end, realistic challenges include a surprise high-performing update from Google, Meta, or Black Forest Labs, or credible third-party evaluations that shift demonstrated capabilities before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日OpenAI 96.8%
マイクロソフトAI 2.2%
Meta 1.7%
Google 1.3%
$53,332 Vol.
$53,332 Vol.
2026/09/30
OpenAI
97%
マイクロソフトAI
2%
Meta
2%
1%
ブラックフォレストラボ
1%
バイトダンス
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
テンセント
<1%
Ideogram
<1%
アリババ
<1%
Recraft
<1%
Reve
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
OpenAI 96.8%
マイクロソフトAI 2.2%
Meta 1.7%
Google 1.3%
$53,332 Vol.
$53,332 Vol.
2026/09/30
OpenAI
$39,253 Vol.
97%
マイクロソフトAI
$759 Vol.
2%
Meta
$937 Vol.
2%
$769 Vol.
1%
ブラックフォレストラボ
$730 Vol.
1%
バイトダンス
$662 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$753 Vol.
<1%
テンセント
$610 Vol.
<1%
Ideogram
$743 Vol.
<1%
アリババ
$5,431 Vol.
<1%
Recraft
$703 Vol.
<1%
Reve
$1,327 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$656 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's dominant 96.8% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its latest DALL-E advancements and seamless integration with leading large language models, which have delivered superior prompt adherence, image quality, and multimodal capabilities compared to rivals. This edge stems from recent official releases and benchmark leadership that have reinforced OpenAI's competitive position in the AI ecosystem. With resolution at month-end, realistic challenges include a surprise high-performing update from Google, Meta, or Black Forest Labs, or credible third-party evaluations that shift demonstrated capabilities before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
音量
$53,332終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI's dominant 96.8% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its latest DALL-E advancements and seamless integration with leading large language models, which have delivered superior prompt adherence, image quality, and multimodal capabilities compared to rivals. This edge stems from recent official releases and benchmark leadership that have reinforced OpenAI's competitive position in the AI ecosystem. With resolution at month-end, realistic challenges include a surprise high-performing update from Google, Meta, or Black Forest Labs, or credible third-party evaluations that shift demonstrated capabilities before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$53,332終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETOpenAI's dominant 96.8% implied probability reflects trader consensus around its latest DALL-E advancements and seamless integration with leading large language models, which have delivered superior prompt adherence, image quality, and multimodal capabilities compared to rivals. This edge stems from recent official releases and benchmark leadership that have reinforced OpenAI's competitive position in the AI ecosystem. With resolution at month-end, realistic challenges include a surprise high-performing update from Google, Meta, or Black Forest Labs, or credible third-party evaluations that shift demonstrated capabilities before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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