Skip to main content

米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?

ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?

icon for ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?

ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?

200件以上 50%

180〜199 39%

160〜179 15%

140~159 4.7%

Polymarket
新規

200件以上 50%

180〜199 39%

160〜179 15%

140~159 4.7%

Polymarket
新規

40~59

$843 Vol.

1%

60~79

$432 Vol.

1%

80〜99

$275 Vol.

1%

100〜119

$484 Vol.

1%

120〜139

$266 Vol.

1%

140~159

$254 Vol.

5%

160〜179

$523 Vol.

15%

180〜199

$922 Vol.

39%

200件以上

$2,080 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The White House X account under the current administration maintains a significantly elevated posting rate compared with prior periods, with Pew Research data from early 2026 showing more than double the frequency of the Biden era and strong engagement metrics.** Recent samples from mid-to-late September 2026 confirm multiple daily posts covering policy updates, economic claims, border enforcement, and foreign policy developments such as Arctic initiatives. This consistent cadence, supported by an active communications operation and ongoing administration priorities, underpins trader pricing that clusters around 180–200+ posts for the September 18–25 window. No major holidays, schedule disruptions, or procedural slowdowns have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline volume, while scheduled events like the president’s return from Camp David have not measurably reduced output. The market’s implied probabilities therefore track the account’s established pattern of frequent, event-driven messaging rather than any short-term deviation.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$6,716
終了日
2026/09/25
マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The White House X account under the current administration maintains a significantly elevated posting rate compared with prior periods, with Pew Research data from early 2026 showing more than double the frequency of the Biden era and strong engagement metrics.** Recent samples from mid-to-late September 2026 confirm multiple daily posts covering policy updates, economic claims, border enforcement, and foreign policy developments such as Arctic initiatives. This consistent cadence, supported by an active communications operation and ongoing administration priorities, underpins trader pricing that clusters around 180–200+ posts for the September 18–25 window. No major holidays, schedule disruptions, or procedural slowdowns have emerged in the past week to alter the baseline volume, while scheduled events like the president’s return from Camp David have not measurably reduced output. The market’s implied probabilities therefore track the account’s established pattern of frequent, event-driven messaging rather than any short-term deviation.

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 18, 12:00 PM ET and September 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$6,716
終了日
2026/09/25
マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「200件以上」で52%、次いで「180〜199」が39%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、52¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に52%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 15, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「200件以上」で52%であり、市場がこの結果に52%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「180〜199」で39%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ホワイトハウスの#ポスト2026年9月18日〜9月25日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。