Recent developments center on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that launched a 60-day negotiation window on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues following earlier indirect and technical talks in Oman, Switzerland, and Doha. As of mid-August, direct rounds have stalled in deadlock over Hormuz access and implementation details, with the United States and Iran exchanging messages through intermediaries such as Oman rather than holding formal sessions. President Trump and Vice President Vance have remained central to U.S. positioning, while Iranian officials including President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf have participated previously. Mediators continue efforts to revive momentum before year-end amid persistent regional tensions, creating uncertainty around whether another verifiable round occurs by the December 31 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$153,499 Vol.
2026/12/31
ジャレッド・クシュナー
61%
アッバース・アラーグチ
46%
スティーブ・ウィトコフ
52%
J.D.バンス
41%
モハンマド・ビン・アブドゥルラフマン・アール＝サーニー
37%
モハンマド・バゲル・ガリーバーフ
43%
マスード・ペゼシュキアン
35%
ラファエル・グロッシ
34%
イシャク・ダール
32%
カゼム・ガリババディ
21%
ニック・スチュワート
20%
バドル・ビン・ハマド・アル・ブサイディ
17%
ドナルド・トランプ
12%
エスマイル・ガアーニ
9%
ピート・ヘグセス
6%
モジュタバ・ハメネイ
5%
アフマド・バヒディ
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
48%
マジド・タクト＝ラヴァンチ
48%
$153,499 Vol.
ジャレッド・クシュナー
$7,972 Vol.
61%
アッバース・アラーグチ
$6,712 Vol.
46%
スティーブ・ウィトコフ
$7,876 Vol.
52%
J.D.バンス
$11,899 Vol.
41%
モハンマド・ビン・アブドゥルラフマン・アール＝サーニー
$9,437 Vol.
37%
モハンマド・バゲル・ガリーバーフ
$11,231 Vol.
43%
マスード・ペゼシュキアン
$7,906 Vol.
35%
ラファエル・グロッシ
$6,560 Vol.
34%
イシャク・ダール
$7,098 Vol.
32%
カゼム・ガリババディ
$14,348 Vol.
21%
ニック・スチュワート
$1,707 Vol.
20%
バドル・ビン・ハマド・アル・ブサイディ
$10,135 Vol.
17%
ドナルド・トランプ
$81 Vol.
12%
エスマイル・ガアーニ
$9,122 Vol.
9%
ピート・ヘグセス
$2,478 Vol.
6%
モジュタバ・ハメネイ
$19,189 Vol.
5%
アフマド・バヒディ
$2,198 Vol.
4%
マルコ・ルビオ
$8,281 Vol.
48%
マジド・タクト＝ラヴァンチ
$9,269 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that launched a 60-day negotiation window on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues following earlier indirect and technical talks in Oman, Switzerland, and Doha. As of mid-August, direct rounds have stalled in deadlock over Hormuz access and implementation details, with the United States and Iran exchanging messages through intermediaries such as Oman rather than holding formal sessions. President Trump and Vice President Vance have remained central to U.S. positioning, while Iranian officials including President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf have participated previously. Mediators continue efforts to revive momentum before year-end amid persistent regional tensions, creating uncertainty around whether another verifiable round occurs by the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
音量
$153,499終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments center on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that launched a 60-day negotiation window on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues following earlier indirect and technical talks in Oman, Switzerland, and Doha. As of mid-August, direct rounds have stalled in deadlock over Hormuz access and implementation details, with the United States and Iran exchanging messages through intermediaries such as Oman rather than holding formal sessions. President Trump and Vice President Vance have remained central to U.S. positioning, while Iranian officials including President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf have participated previously. Mediators continue efforts to revive momentum before year-end amid persistent regional tensions, creating uncertainty around whether another verifiable round occurs by the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$153,499終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments center on the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that launched a 60-day negotiation window on the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and related issues following earlier indirect and technical talks in Oman, Switzerland, and Doha. As of mid-August, direct rounds have stalled in deadlock over Hormuz access and implementation details, with the United States and Iran exchanging messages through intermediaries such as Oman rather than holding formal sessions. President Trump and Vice President Vance have remained central to U.S. positioning, while Iranian officials including President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf have participated previously. Mediators continue efforts to revive momentum before year-end amid persistent regional tensions, creating uncertainty around whether another verifiable round occurs by the December 31 deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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