Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared with challengers who have each raised under $30,000. Her January 2026 vote to fund the Department of Homeland Security, which included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations, prompted progressive challengers including former Assembly member Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones to enter the race. The fragmented field, combined with an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs and the closed primary’s low-turnout dynamics, has solidified trader consensus around Gillen’s structural advantages ahead of the vote. No public polls have been released to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ローラ・ギレン 86%
ニコラス・シレッタ 11%
テイラー・ダーリング 4.5%
ジャン・ジョーンズ <1%
$18,925 Vol.
$18,925 Vol.
ローラ・ギレン
86%
ニコラス・シレッタ
11%
テイラー・ダーリング
4%
ジャン・ジョーンズ
<1%
ローラ・ギレン 86%
ニコラス・シレッタ 11%
テイラー・ダーリング 4.5%
ジャン・ジョーンズ <1%
$18,925 Vol.
$18,925 Vol.
ローラ・ギレン
86%
ニコラス・シレッタ
11%
テイラー・ダーリング
4%
ジャン・ジョーンズ
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared with challengers who have each raised under $30,000. Her January 2026 vote to fund the Department of Homeland Security, which included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations, prompted progressive challengers including former Assembly member Taylor Darling, Nicholas Sciretta, and Gian Jones to enter the race. The fragmented field, combined with an endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs and the closed primary’s low-turnout dynamics, has solidified trader consensus around Gillen’s structural advantages ahead of the vote. No public polls have been released to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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