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icon for プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?

プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?

icon for プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?

プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?

はい

98% 確率
Polymarket

$181,001 Vol.

はい

98% 確率
Polymarket

$181,001 Vol.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov announced on May 14 that President Vladimir Putin's visit to China will occur very soon, with preparations already complete, driving trader consensus to a 98% implied probability for Yes by May 31. Media reports, including South China Morning Post, indicate a one-day trip to Beijing on May 20, shortly after Xi Jinping's summit with U.S. President Donald Trump, underscoring deepening Russia-China strategic partnership amid global diplomacy. This reflects frequent high-level bilateral engagements, with the leaders having met over 40 times. While near-certain, low-probability risks like sudden health issues, security threats, or abrupt scheduling shifts from ongoing Ukraine tensions or UN Security Council dynamics could still derail the itinerary.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$181,001
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov announced on May 14 that President Vladimir Putin's visit to China will occur very soon, with preparations already complete, driving trader consensus to a 98% implied probability for Yes by May 31. Media reports, including South China Morning Post, indicate a one-day trip to Beijing on May 20, shortly after Xi Jinping's summit with U.S. President Donald Trump, underscoring deepening Russia-China strategic partnership amid global diplomacy. This reflects frequent high-level bilateral engagements, with the leaders having met over 40 times. While near-certain, low-probability risks like sudden health issues, security threats, or abrupt scheduling shifts from ongoing Ukraine tensions or UN Security Council dynamics could still derail the itinerary.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$181,001
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「プーチンは5月31日までに中国を訪問しますか?」で98%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?」は$181Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「プーチンは5月31日までに中国を訪問しますか?」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「プーチン大統領は5月31日までに中国を訪問するか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。