Zelenskyy's consistent use of X to communicate wartime updates, diplomatic positions, and military developments during the Russia-Ukraine conflict positions the 80-99 range as the leading outcome in trader assessments. Historical patterns show elevated posting volumes when active negotiations or frontline activity persist, with the current implied probability reflecting expectations of steady rather than exceptional engagement over the coming week. Recent reports of Russian strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian responses have sustained information-sharing needs without triggering an immediate escalation that would push counts higher. Traders view pauses below 80 posts as unlikely absent a verifiable communications lull, while outcomes above 99 remain possible if new ceasefire talks or major battlefield shifts emerge within the resolution window. This consensus aligns with established baselines from comparable periods of ongoing diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日80-99 35%
60-79 22%
100-119 14%
120-139 10%
<20
1%
20-39
2%
40-59
4%
60-79
22%
80-99
40%
100-119
14%
120-139
10%
140-159
3%
160-179
3%
180-199
3%
200+
<1%
80-99 35%
60-79 22%
100-119 14%
120-139 10%
<20
1%
20-39
2%
40-59
4%
60-79
22%
80-99
40%
100-119
14%
120-139
10%
140-159
3%
160-179
3%
180-199
3%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日: May 16, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Zelenskyy's consistent use of X to communicate wartime updates, diplomatic positions, and military developments during the Russia-Ukraine conflict positions the 80-99 range as the leading outcome in trader assessments. Historical patterns show elevated posting volumes when active negotiations or frontline activity persist, with the current implied probability reflecting expectations of steady rather than exceptional engagement over the coming week. Recent reports of Russian strikes on Kyiv and Ukrainian responses have sustained information-sharing needs without triggering an immediate escalation that would push counts higher. Traders view pauses below 80 posts as unlikely absent a verifiable communications lull, while outcomes above 99 remain possible if new ceasefire talks or major battlefield shifts emerge within the resolution window. This consensus aligns with established baselines from comparable periods of ongoing diplomacy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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