Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, driven by her lead in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members (31%) amid high ballot exhaustion benefiting frontrunners in the preferential voting system, recent high-profile endorsements from figures like Gordon Campbell and Stockwell Day, and superior fundraising enabling broad campaign reach. Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds second at 13.1% as a "true blue" alternative with federal MP experience appealing to ideological voters, while Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar trail amid final debate clashes and voter verification challenges using a U.S. firm. With membership cutoff passed at over 42,000 and results due May 30, late momentum or turnout could narrow the gap in this closely watched race to challenge the NDP government.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트캐롤라인 엘리엇 76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%
유리 풀머 6.3%
이안 블랙 4.3%
$170,598 거래량
$170,598 거래량
캐롤라인 엘리엇
76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
13%
유리 풀머
6%
이안 블랙
4%
피터 밀로바르
4%
브루스 밴맨
<1%
하르만 방구
<1%
워렌 햄
<1%
대럴 존스
<1%
캐롤라인 엘리엇 76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%
유리 풀머 6.3%
이안 블랙 4.3%
$170,598 거래량
$170,598 거래량
캐롤라인 엘리엇
76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
13%
유리 풀머
6%
이안 블랙
4%
피터 밀로바르
4%
브루스 밴맨
<1%
하르만 방구
<1%
워렌 햄
<1%
대럴 존스
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
마켓 개설일: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, driven by her lead in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members (31%) amid high ballot exhaustion benefiting frontrunners in the preferential voting system, recent high-profile endorsements from figures like Gordon Campbell and Stockwell Day, and superior fundraising enabling broad campaign reach. Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds second at 13.1% as a "true blue" alternative with federal MP experience appealing to ideological voters, while Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar trail amid final debate clashes and voter verification challenges using a U.S. firm. With membership cutoff passed at over 42,000 and results due May 30, late momentum or turnout could narrow the gap in this closely watched race to challenge the NDP government.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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