Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1.1 – 1.5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0.6 – 1.0% 23%
2.0-2.4% 8.4%
$40,817 거래량
$40,817 거래량
2027.01.10
-1.0% 미만
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
23%
1.1 – 1.5%
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
24%
2.0-2.4%
8%
2.5% 이상
6%
1.1 – 1.5% 50%
1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%
0.6 – 1.0% 23%
2.0-2.4% 8.4%
$40,817 거래량
$40,817 거래량
2027.01.10
-1.0% 미만
$17,491 거래량
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,347 거래량
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,564 거래량
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,852 거래량
3%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,956 거래량
23%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,491 거래량
42%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,995 거래량
24%
2.0-2.4%
$2,580 거래량
8%
2.5% 이상
$2,542 거래량
6%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
마켓 개설일: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
거래량
$40,817종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
거래량
$40,817종료일
2027.01.10마켓 개설일
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent April 2026 consumer price index data showing a 1.2% year-over-year rise, above consensus estimates and driven by elevated energy and transport costs amid Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment around the 1.1–1.5% annual inflation band, now priced at a 42% implied probability on Polymarket. Weak domestic demand, declining food prices, and persistent housing softness continue to limit upside pressure, keeping higher bands like 2.0–2.4% at just 8.4% while supporting the 0.6–1.0% interval at 22%. With core inflation holding near 1.2% and no aggressive policy response signaled by the People’s Bank of China, markets are pricing in a mild reflation path for the full-year average that aligns with subdued growth forecasts rather than outright deflation or rapid acceleration.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문