The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트60-64% 59%
56-60% 36%
64%+ 4.2%
52-56% 3.0%
$13,462 거래량
$13,462 거래량
52% 미만
1%
52-56%
3%
56-60%
36%
60-64%
59%
64%+
4%
60-64% 59%
56-60% 36%
64%+ 4.2%
52-56% 3.0%
$13,462 거래량
$13,462 거래량
52% 미만
1%
52-56%
3%
56-60%
36%
60-64%
59%
64%+
4%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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