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콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율

icon for 콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율

콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율

60-64% 59%

56-60% 36%

64%+ 4.2%

52-56% 3.0%

Polymarket

$13,462 거래량

60-64% 59%

56-60% 36%

64%+ 4.2%

52-56% 3.0%

Polymarket

$13,462 거래량

52% 미만

$828 거래량

1%

52-56%

$678 거래량

3%

56-60%

$3,034 거래량

36%

60-64%

$5,609 거래량

59%

64%+

$3,313 거래량

4%

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$13,462
종료일
2026.06.22
마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely contested June 21 runoff between right-wing candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda has sustained high public engagement following the May 31 first round, where turnout reached a record 57.89% of registered voters. Polarization between the two finalists, combined with coalition-building efforts and mobilization of the substantial abstainer pool from the initial vote, supports expectations that participation will rise modestly into the low-to-mid 60% range. Recent polling and campaign activity show both sides focusing on turnout operations in key regions, while the absence of major disruptions or legal challenges since the first round has preserved momentum. The 60-64% bracket leads market pricing because it aligns with historical patterns in Colombia's polarized runoffs and the visible intensity of current voter outreach, whereas lower ranges reflect the possibility that fatigue or logistical factors could limit gains over the first-round baseline.

The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$13,462
종료일
2026.06.22
마켓 개설일
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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자주 묻는 질문

"콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율"은 5개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 59%의 "60-64%"이며, 이어서 36%의 "56-60%"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 59¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 59%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율"은 총 $13.5K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jun 5, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 5개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율"의 현재 유력 후보는 59%의 "60-64%"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 59%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 36%의 "56-60%"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"콜롬비아 대통령 선거 결선: 투표율"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.