Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney secured his party's nomination for an 11th term after prevailing at the May 2026 district convention, where a primary challenge fell short of the required threshold. Connecticut's 2nd district maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent results, including Courtney's 2024 reelection margin. The Republican primary field remains limited ahead of the August 11 contests, with no candidates demonstrating statewide or fundraising strength sufficient to alter the general election outlook. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90% implied probability aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,257 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$2,782 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney secured his party's nomination for an 11th term after prevailing at the May 2026 district convention, where a primary challenge fell short of the required threshold. Connecticut's 2nd district maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent results, including Courtney's 2024 reelection margin. The Republican primary field remains limited ahead of the August 11 contests, with no candidates demonstrating statewide or fundraising strength sufficient to alter the general election outlook. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90% implied probability aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$5,039종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney secured his party's nomination for an 11th term after prevailing at the May 2026 district convention, where a primary challenge fell short of the required threshold. Connecticut's 2nd district maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent results, including Courtney's 2024 reelection margin. The Republican primary field remains limited ahead of the August 11 contests, with no candidates demonstrating statewide or fundraising strength sufficient to alter the general election outlook. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90% implied probability aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,039종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joe Courtney secured his party's nomination for an 11th term after prevailing at the May 2026 district convention, where a primary challenge fell short of the required threshold. Connecticut's 2nd district maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent results, including Courtney's 2024 reelection margin. The Republican primary field remains limited ahead of the August 11 contests, with no candidates demonstrating statewide or fundraising strength sufficient to alter the general election outlook. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee over 90% implied probability aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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