Traders have assigned a 79% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public filing or roadshow since the company’s confidential SEC submission in January. Secondary-market indications currently imply a $7–10 billion valuation, well below the $15 billion private mark from 2021, amid slower revenue growth relative to user engagement and a selective 2026 IPO window. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan remain attached to the deal, but prevailing market conditions have pushed any debut later in the year or into 2027. The low single-digit odds attached to every listed market-cap bucket underscore this timeline uncertainty and the market’s view that any eventual pricing will likely clear below $15 billion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 79%
150억 미만 5.3%
150억~200억 달러 4.1%
250–300억 2.3%
$893,953 거래량
$893,953 거래량
2026.06.30
150억 미만
5%
150억~200억 달러
4%
200–250억 달러
1%
250–300억
2%
300억+
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
79%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 79%
150억 미만 5.3%
150억~200억 달러 4.1%
250–300억 2.3%
$893,953 거래량
$893,953 거래량
2026.06.30
150억 미만
$298,539 거래량
5%
150억~200억 달러
$109,468 거래량
4%
200–250억 달러
$74,744 거래량
1%
250–300억
$114,056 거래량
2%
300억+
$102,720 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
$194,426 거래량
79%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders have assigned a 79% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public filing or roadshow since the company’s confidential SEC submission in January. Secondary-market indications currently imply a $7–10 billion valuation, well below the $15 billion private mark from 2021, amid slower revenue growth relative to user engagement and a selective 2026 IPO window. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan remain attached to the deal, but prevailing market conditions have pushed any debut later in the year or into 2027. The low single-digit odds attached to every listed market-cap bucket underscore this timeline uncertainty and the market’s view that any eventual pricing will likely clear below $15 billion.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
거래량
$893,953종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders have assigned a 79% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public filing or roadshow since the company’s confidential SEC submission in January. Secondary-market indications currently imply a $7–10 billion valuation, well below the $15 billion private mark from 2021, amid slower revenue growth relative to user engagement and a selective 2026 IPO window. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan remain attached to the deal, but prevailing market conditions have pushed any debut later in the year or into 2027. The low single-digit odds attached to every listed market-cap bucket underscore this timeline uncertainty and the market’s view that any eventual pricing will likely clear below $15 billion.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$893,953종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders have assigned a 79% probability to no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of a public filing or roadshow since the company’s confidential SEC submission in January. Secondary-market indications currently imply a $7–10 billion valuation, well below the $15 billion private mark from 2021, amid slower revenue growth relative to user engagement and a selective 2026 IPO window. Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan remain attached to the deal, but prevailing market conditions have pushed any debut later in the year or into 2027. The low single-digit odds attached to every listed market-cap bucket underscore this timeline uncertainty and the market’s view that any eventual pricing will likely clear below $15 billion.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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