Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026, exceeding the ECB’s 2% target amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and the Iran conflict. This prompted the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% on April 30 while signaling upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes. ECB staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6-2.7%, reversing earlier analyst forecasts such as those from Morgan Stanley for multiple cuts. Persistent price pressures have outweighed sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth, leading traders to assign an 88% probability that the deposit facility rate will remain unchanged through year-end despite the June 11 policy meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$27,913 거래량
$27,913 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$27,913 거래량
$27,913 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026, exceeding the ECB’s 2% target amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and the Iran conflict. This prompted the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% on April 30 while signaling upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes. ECB staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6-2.7%, reversing earlier analyst forecasts such as those from Morgan Stanley for multiple cuts. Persistent price pressures have outweighed sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth, leading traders to assign an 88% probability that the deposit facility rate will remain unchanged through year-end despite the June 11 policy meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$27,913종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026, exceeding the ECB’s 2% target amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and the Iran conflict. This prompted the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% on April 30 while signaling upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes. ECB staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6-2.7%, reversing earlier analyst forecasts such as those from Morgan Stanley for multiple cuts. Persistent price pressures have outweighed sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth, leading traders to assign an 88% probability that the deposit facility rate will remain unchanged through year-end despite the June 11 policy meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$27,913종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 3.0% in April 2026, exceeding the ECB’s 2% target amid elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions and the Iran conflict. This prompted the Governing Council to hold key rates steady at 2% on April 30 while signaling upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes. ECB staff projections now show 2026 headline inflation averaging 2.6-2.7%, reversing earlier analyst forecasts such as those from Morgan Stanley for multiple cuts. Persistent price pressures have outweighed sluggish 0.1% Q1 growth, leading traders to assign an 88% probability that the deposit facility rate will remain unchanged through year-end despite the June 11 policy meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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