Recent inflation data exceeding the European Central Bank's 2% target, driven by energy price spikes amid the Iran conflict, has shifted trader expectations toward monetary tightening. At its April 30 meeting, the Governing Council kept the deposit facility rate at 2% but debated a hike extensively and signaled openness to action as early as June, with officials including Nagel and Schnabel highlighting risks of entrenched price pressures. Economists now widely forecast at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with market pricing of multiple moves through September. This consensus reflects the data-dependent approach and upside inflation risks noted in recent statements, while downside growth concerns remain secondary for near-term policy decisions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$114,365 거래량
$114,365 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$114,365 거래량
$114,365 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data exceeding the European Central Bank's 2% target, driven by energy price spikes amid the Iran conflict, has shifted trader expectations toward monetary tightening. At its April 30 meeting, the Governing Council kept the deposit facility rate at 2% but debated a hike extensively and signaled openness to action as early as June, with officials including Nagel and Schnabel highlighting risks of entrenched price pressures. Economists now widely forecast at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with market pricing of multiple moves through September. This consensus reflects the data-dependent approach and upside inflation risks noted in recent statements, while downside growth concerns remain secondary for near-term policy decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
거래량
$114,365종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data exceeding the European Central Bank's 2% target, driven by energy price spikes amid the Iran conflict, has shifted trader expectations toward monetary tightening. At its April 30 meeting, the Governing Council kept the deposit facility rate at 2% but debated a hike extensively and signaled openness to action as early as June, with officials including Nagel and Schnabel highlighting risks of entrenched price pressures. Economists now widely forecast at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with market pricing of multiple moves through September. This consensus reflects the data-dependent approach and upside inflation risks noted in recent statements, while downside growth concerns remain secondary for near-term policy decisions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$114,365종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation data exceeding the European Central Bank's 2% target, driven by energy price spikes amid the Iran conflict, has shifted trader expectations toward monetary tightening. At its April 30 meeting, the Governing Council kept the deposit facility rate at 2% but debated a hike extensively and signaled openness to action as early as June, with officials including Nagel and Schnabel highlighting risks of entrenched price pressures. Economists now widely forecast at least one 25-basis-point increase this year, aligning with market pricing of multiple moves through September. This consensus reflects the data-dependent approach and upside inflation risks noted in recent statements, while downside growth concerns remain secondary for near-term policy decisions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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