Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트노엘 토마스 47%
션 카인 32.9%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐 10.4%
헬렌 오그부 7.0%
$44,065 거래량
$44,065 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
1%
션 카인
33%
나이얼 머피
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
10%
Orla Nugent
<1%
헬렌 오그부
7%
덴먼 루크
1%
노엘 토마스
47%
토마스 웰비
<1%
마이크 커버드
5%
마크 로한
5%
노엘 토마스 47%
션 카인 32.9%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐 10.4%
헬렌 오그부 7.0%
$44,065 거래량
$44,065 거래량
2027.03.31
쉐일라 개러티
$20,198 거래량
1%
션 카인
$3,353 거래량
33%
나이얼 머피
$1,792 거래량
<1%
미데 니크 프윙랴이흐
$1,589 거래량
10%
Orla Nugent
$1,592 거래량
<1%
헬렌 오그부
$2,875 거래량
7%
덴먼 루크
$1,564 거래량
1%
노엘 토마스
$4,982 거래량
47%
토마스 웰비
$1,609 거래량
<1%
마이크 커버드
$2,051 거래량
5%
마크 로한
$2,461 거래량
5%
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
거래량
$44,065종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
거래량
$44,065종료일
2027.03.31마켓 개설일
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the frontrunner at 45.5% to win the Galway West Dáil by-election on May 22, ahead of Fine Gael's Seán Kyne at 32.8%, amid a fragmented 17-candidate field where single transferable vote transfers will prove decisive for the vacancy left by President Catherine Connolly. A May 7 Irish Times/TG4/Ipsos poll showed Kyne edging first preferences 17%-16% over Thomas, with Labour's Helen Ogbu at 12% and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich at 9%, but a May 12 report alleging Kyne blackmailed and harassed a former agency CEO has fueled controversy, boosting anti-establishment sentiment favoring Thomas. Cost-of-living pressures and fuel protest stances dominate, with a May 18 Galway Bay FM debate looming.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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