Current meteorological forecast models from official agencies indicate a Beijing high near 19°C today, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that limits daytime heating and maintains stable atmospheric conditions across the North China Plain. This alignment with mid-May climatological averages—typically featuring highs around 25°C but tempered by cooler northerly flow—underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with only minor potential for 20°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, though resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$101,824 거래량
$101,824 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$101,824 거래량
$101,824 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C or below
$533 거래량
<1%
14°C
$656 거래량
<1%
15°C
$1,780 거래량
<1%
16°C
$6,602 거래량
<1%
17°C
$8,798 거래량
<1%
18°C
$14,358 거래량
<1%
19°C
$27,851 거래량
99%
20°C
$16,525 거래량
<1%
21°C
$5,796 거래량
<1%
22°C
$8,030 거래량
<1%
23°C or higher
$10,937 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecast models from official agencies indicate a Beijing high near 19°C today, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that limits daytime heating and maintains stable atmospheric conditions across the North China Plain. This alignment with mid-May climatological averages—typically featuring highs around 25°C but tempered by cooler northerly flow—underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with only minor potential for 20°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, though resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$101,824종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecast models from official agencies indicate a Beijing high near 19°C today, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that limits daytime heating and maintains stable atmospheric conditions across the North China Plain. This alignment with mid-May climatological averages—typically featuring highs around 25°C but tempered by cooler northerly flow—underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with only minor potential for 20°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, though resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$101,824종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecast models from official agencies indicate a Beijing high near 19°C today, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence that limits daytime heating and maintains stable atmospheric conditions across the North China Plain. This alignment with mid-May climatological averages—typically featuring highs around 25°C but tempered by cooler northerly flow—underpins the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread, with only minor potential for 20°C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens unexpectedly, though resolution hinges on verified maximum readings at standard stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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