Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 텔아비브에서 가장 높은 온도는?
35°C or higher 74%
34°C 11%
33°C 5.8%
31°C 1.1%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
74%
35°C or higher 74%
34°C 11%
33°C 5.8%
31°C 1.1%
신규
신규
2026.05.17
25°C or below
$1,714 거래량
<1%
26°C
$677 거래량
<1%
27°C
$486 거래량
<1%
28°C
$334 거래량
<1%
29°C
$454 거래량
<1%
30°C
$243 거래량
1%
31°C
$249 거래량
1%
32°C
$504 거래량
1%
33°C
$370 거래량
6%
34°C
$180 거래량
11%
35°C or higher
$363 거래량
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$5,574종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,574종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 78% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 17, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF indicating a renewed sharav event—characterized by hot, dry easterly winds advecting Saharan air masses over the coastal plain. Recent developments include a prior sharav peak near 34°C on May 12, followed by brief cooling to seasonal norms around 23-27°C, but subsidence under high pressure is rebuilding, with clear skies and low humidity amplifying daytime heating beyond May's climatological average high of 27°C. IMS updates expected May 16 could refine peak timing between 13:00-16:00 local time, while sea breezes introduce minor uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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