Recent official forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a Beijing daily maximum of 19°C today, driven by a cool northerly air mass, widespread cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating under stable synoptic conditions. These factors align with observed surface temperatures and ensemble guidance showing limited temperature advection or boundary-layer mixing that could push readings higher. The market's 99% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow outcome window, consistent with historical May variability when similar setups produce peaks within 1–2°C of guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow later today could realistically shift the high to 20°C or above, while an earlier onset of precipitation might cap it at 18°C. Final resolution depends on the official station reading at day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
19°C 98.5%
20°C 1.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$74,094 거래량
$74,094 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 98.5%
20°C 1.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$74,094 거래량
$74,094 거래량
2026.05.17
13°C or below
$517 거래량
<1%
14°C
$640 거래량
<1%
15°C
$1,765 거래량
<1%
16°C
$6,587 거래량
<1%
17°C
$8,776 거래량
<1%
18°C
$14,331 거래량
<1%
19°C
$11,578 거래량
99%
20°C
$10,592 거래량
1%
21°C
$5,666 거래량
<1%
22°C
$7,360 거래량
<1%
23°C or higher
$6,719 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a Beijing daily maximum of 19°C today, driven by a cool northerly air mass, widespread cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating under stable synoptic conditions. These factors align with observed surface temperatures and ensemble guidance showing limited temperature advection or boundary-layer mixing that could push readings higher. The market's 99% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow outcome window, consistent with historical May variability when similar setups produce peaks within 1–2°C of guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow later today could realistically shift the high to 20°C or above, while an earlier onset of precipitation might cap it at 18°C. Final resolution depends on the official station reading at day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$74,094종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a Beijing daily maximum of 19°C today, driven by a cool northerly air mass, widespread cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating under stable synoptic conditions. These factors align with observed surface temperatures and ensemble guidance showing limited temperature advection or boundary-layer mixing that could push readings higher. The market's 99% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow outcome window, consistent with historical May variability when similar setups produce peaks within 1–2°C of guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow later today could realistically shift the high to 20°C or above, while an earlier onset of precipitation might cap it at 18°C. Final resolution depends on the official station reading at day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$74,094종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent official forecasts from global and regional meteorological models indicate a Beijing daily maximum of 19°C today, driven by a cool northerly air mass, widespread cloud cover, and minimal daytime heating under stable synoptic conditions. These factors align with observed surface temperatures and ensemble guidance showing limited temperature advection or boundary-layer mixing that could push readings higher. The market's 99% implied probability on 19°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow outcome window, consistent with historical May variability when similar setups produce peaks within 1–2°C of guidance. A rapid clearing of clouds or stronger southerly flow later today could realistically shift the high to 20°C or above, while an earlier onset of precipitation might cap it at 18°C. Final resolution depends on the official station reading at day's end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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