Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
26°C 17%
25°C 14%
$17,610 거래량
$17,610 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
17%
27°C
31%
28°C
32%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
27°C 31%
26°C 17%
25°C 14%
$17,610 거래량
$17,610 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
14%
26°C
17%
27°C
31%
28°C
32%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models point to a Beijing high near 27 °C on May 18 under light southerly flow and mostly overcast skies, which explains why the 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes hold the clearest trader backing at 31.5 % and 29.0 %. Model consensus remains tight around this range, with modest afternoon warming limited by cloud cover and weak advection; historical May climatology places average daily maxima near 26 °C, so any slight increase in insolation or shift in boundary-layer mixing could push readings toward 28 °C. Key resolution hinges on the final official observation at Beijing Capital International Airport, where even small revisions in the afternoon temperature trace can separate the two leading bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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