Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 15일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 15일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 거래량
$292,518 거래량
2026.05.15
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C 이상
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C 이하 <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 거래량
$292,518 거래량
2026.05.15
19°C 이하
$3,583 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,551 거래량
<1%
21°C
$3,480 거래량
<1%
22°C
$3,250 거래량
<1%
23°C
$3,799 거래량
<1%
24°C
$5,477 거래량
<1%
25°C
$30,336 거래량
<1%
26°C
$69,254 거래량
<1%
27°C
$89,457 거래량
100%
28°C
$45,405 거래량
<1%
29°C 이상
$35,925 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$292,518종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$292,518종료일
2026.05.15마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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