Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 온도는?
25°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$266,406 거래량
$266,406 거래량
2026.05.17
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$266,406 거래량
$266,406 거래량
2026.05.17
19°C or below
$3,029 거래량
<1%
20°C
$2,037 거래량
<1%
21°C
$2,261 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,657 거래량
<1%
23°C
$6,693 거래량
<1%
24°C
$38,211 거래량
<1%
25°C
$103,777 거래량
100%
26°C
$55,474 거래량
<1%
27°C
$24,349 거래량
<1%
28°C
$12,547 거래량
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,419 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$266,406종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$266,406종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining extensive cloud cover to limit solar heating. This setup aligns with climatological May averages of 28–31°C yet reflects a cooler anomaly consistent with current conditions, where numerical weather prediction ensembles show strong consensus on suppressed temperatures. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25°C outcome at 99.9 percent because traders assess minimal risk of deviation absent unexpected breaks in cloudiness or shifts in steering winds. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the Observatory’s reference station, with any sustained clear periods potentially allowing brief exceedance of that threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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