Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
5월 18일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
15°C 43%
16°C 26%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.8%
신규
$42,301 거래량
신규
$42,301 거래량
2026.05.18
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
21%
15°C
43%
16°C
26%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 43%
16°C 26%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.8%
신규
$42,301 거래량
신규
$42,301 거래량
2026.05.18
8°C or below
$1,891 거래량
<1%
9°C
$6,300 거래량
<1%
10°C
$1,833 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,588 거래량
<1%
12°C
$3,120 거래량
2%
13°C
$4,748 거래량
6%
14°C
$3,564 거래량
21%
15°C
$3,980 거래량
43%
16°C
$5,244 거래량
26%
17°C
$4,255 거래량
6%
18°C or higher
$5,967 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$42,301종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$42,301종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that favors cooler, cloudier conditions and scattered showers. This consensus drives the market’s strongest implied probability toward 15 °C, with 16 °C and 14 °C as close contenders, reflecting typical mid-May variability around the long-term climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, though any strengthening of southerly flow could nudge highs toward 17 °C or higher before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next official guidance updates for potential shifts in the steering pattern or rainfall timing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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