Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 19일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 19일 런던에서 가장 높은 기온?
18°C 31%
17°C 30%
16°C 21%
19°C 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
21%
17°C
30%
18°C
31%
19°C
18%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 31%
17°C 30%
16°C 21%
19°C 18%
신규
신규
2026.05.19
12°C or below
$52 거래량
<1%
13°C
$22 거래량
1%
14°C
$60 거래량
2%
15°C
$40 거래량
11%
16°C
$23 거래량
21%
17°C
$43 거래량
30%
18°C
$67 거래량
31%
19°C
$56 거래량
18%
20°C
$84 거래량
6%
21°C
$102 거래량
1%
22°C or higher
$32 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$572종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$572종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for southeast England on May 19 show a lingering cool maritime air mass with variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow, keeping daytime maxima centered near 16–18 °C. Persistent stratiform cloud has so far suppressed solar heating, while any afternoon breaks could allow brief warming toward 18 °C; conversely, increased drizzle or thicker low cloud would cap readings at 16 °C or below. These narrow thresholds explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 16 °C (24.5 %), 17 °C (33.0 %), and 18 °C (32.5 %), with limited conviction on either side until the next high-resolution model runs and official guidance update tomorrow morning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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