Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 65%
34°C 29%
35°C 6%
36°C 1.0%
$19,897 거래량
$19,897 거래량
2026.06.11
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
65%
34°C
29%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
34°C 29%
35°C 6%
36°C 1.0%
$19,897 거래량
$19,897 거래량
2026.06.11
28°C or below
$372 거래량
<1%
29°C
$537 거래량
<1%
30°C
$1,045 거래량
<1%
31°C
$3,972 거래량
<1%
32°C
$3,325 거래량
<1%
33°C
$2,820 거래량
65%
34°C
$1,962 거래량
29%
35°C
$2,024 거래량
6%
36°C
$2,544 거래량
1%
37°C
$957 거래량
<1%
38°C or higher
$517 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$19,897종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$19,897종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETOfficial PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with only a 10% rain chance, aligning with the market's 67% implied probability for that outcome. The southwest monsoon season, now underway, introduces increased cloud cover and humidity that typically caps temperatures below the 34–35°C peaks seen in April–May. Long-term June averages near 32°C, with recent model runs showing limited potential for brief spikes to 34°C absent stronger insolation. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines heavily, assigning low odds above 35°C given the moderating monsoon influence and stable steering patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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