Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models place Manila's June 13 high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon onset, with 40-60% rain chances that favor cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, though early-month peaks can reach 33-34°C under clearer conditions before monsoon strengthening increases humidity and suppresses maxima. Trader weighting toward 33°C over 32°C or 34°C reflects model spread on exact timing of showers and wind patterns, which can shift observed highs by 1-2°C depending on convective timing and urban heat retention. Updated agency briefings closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 13일에 마닐라에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
33°C 35%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 11%
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
27%
33°C
35%
34°C
30%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C 이상
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 11%
27°C 이하
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
27%
33°C
35%
34°C
30%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models place Manila's June 13 high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon onset, with 40-60% rain chances that favor cloud cover and limit daytime heating. Historical June averages hover around 32°C, though early-month peaks can reach 33-34°C under clearer conditions before monsoon strengthening increases humidity and suppresses maxima. Trader weighting toward 33°C over 32°C or 34°C reflects model spread on exact timing of showers and wind patterns, which can shift observed highs by 1-2°C depending on convective timing and urban heat retention. Updated agency briefings closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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