Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 62%
15°C 28%
17°C 9%
14°C <1%
$68,928 거래량
$68,928 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
28%
16°C
62%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
15°C 28%
17°C 9%
14°C <1%
$68,928 거래량
$68,928 거래량
2026.05.17
10°C or below
$1,110 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,434 거래량
<1%
12°C
$2,788 거래량
<1%
13°C
$5,959 거래량
<1%
14°C
$9,157 거래량
1%
15°C
$8,316 거래량
28%
16°C
$9,385 거래량
62%
17°C
$8,411 거래량
9%
18°C
$7,553 거래량
1%
19°C
$11,147 거래량
<1%
20°C or higher
$3,838 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$68,928종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$68,928종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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