Recent model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daily maximum of 26–28 °C in Qingdao on June 15, driven by light southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes. Coastal sea breezes typically cap afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 24 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief excursions to 28 °C; conversely, increased cloud cover or stronger onshore flow would favor 26 °C or lower. With resolution imminent, traders are closely tracking the next high-resolution model runs and local observations for any last adjustments to these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 15?
27°C 43%
28°C 22%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
43%
28°C
22%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 43%
28°C 22%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
43%
28°C
22%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daily maximum of 26–28 °C in Qingdao on June 15, driven by light southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 27 °C and 28 °C outcomes. Coastal sea breezes typically cap afternoon peaks near the seasonal average of 24 °C, while brief clearing could allow brief excursions to 28 °C; conversely, increased cloud cover or stronger onshore flow would favor 26 °C or lower. With resolution imminent, traders are closely tracking the next high-resolution model runs and local observations for any last adjustments to these probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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