Recent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 상파울루에서 가장 높은 온도는?
$62,222 거래량
$62,222 거래량
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
$62,222 거래량
$62,222 거래량
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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