Current forecasts from major meteorological models converge on a maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 14 under stable sunny conditions and moderate westerly flow typical of the early Mediterranean dry season. The coastal sea breeze, driven by differential heating between land and the eastern Mediterranean, provides key moderation that historically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 30°C or higher remaining a low-probability outlier absent an unexpected easterly wind shift. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 29°C aligns closely with this observational and model agreement, while the 10% share for 28°C accounts for minor cooling variability from stronger onshore flow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 14?
29°C 71%
30°C 25%
28°C 8%
31°C 1.0%
$15,693 거래량
$15,693 거래량
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
71%
30°C
25%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 71%
30°C 25%
28°C 8%
31°C 1.0%
$15,693 거래량
$15,693 거래량
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
71%
30°C
25%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major meteorological models converge on a maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 14 under stable sunny conditions and moderate westerly flow typical of the early Mediterranean dry season. The coastal sea breeze, driven by differential heating between land and the eastern Mediterranean, provides key moderation that historically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 28–30°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 30°C or higher remaining a low-probability outlier absent an unexpected easterly wind shift. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 29°C aligns closely with this observational and model agreement, while the 10% share for 28°C accounts for minor cooling variability from stronger onshore flow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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