Latest European and global model runs indicate a moderating air mass over central Poland on June 13, with 2-meter temperatures centered near 19–20 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes and reflects typical mid-June variability, when Warsaw’s climatological average high reaches roughly 22 °C. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the precise timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensembles show modest spread, underscoring forecast uncertainty typical at 48-hour range; fresh 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS will provide the next decisive updates before market resolution based on official Warsaw station observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 38%
19°C 31%
21°C 21%
17°C 7.2%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
7%
19°C
31%
20°C
38%
21°C
21%
22°C or higher
6%
20°C 38%
19°C 31%
21°C 21%
17°C 7.2%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
7%
19°C
31%
20°C
38%
21°C
21%
22°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest European and global model runs indicate a moderating air mass over central Poland on June 13, with 2-meter temperatures centered near 19–20 °C amid increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tight clustering of trader probabilities around those outcomes and reflects typical mid-June variability, when Warsaw’s climatological average high reaches roughly 22 °C. Key variables differentiating the leading bins include the precise timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Ensembles show modest spread, underscoring forecast uncertainty typical at 48-hour range; fresh 00Z and 12Z runs from ECMWF and GFS will provide the next decisive updates before market resolution based on official Warsaw station observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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