Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on May 17, reflecting persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover that have limited daytime warming. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value with low spread, consistent with historical May climatology for the region. Afternoon surface observations or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing could still nudge readings by a degree, yet the strong consensus across deterministic and probabilistic guidance leaves only narrow pathways for an outcome of 14°C or higher.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,013 거래량
$52,013 거래량
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,013 거래량
$52,013 거래량
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on May 17, reflecting persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover that have limited daytime warming. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value with low spread, consistent with historical May climatology for the region. Afternoon surface observations or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing could still nudge readings by a degree, yet the strong consensus across deterministic and probabilistic guidance leaves only narrow pathways for an outcome of 14°C or higher.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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