Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent cool northerly airflow across central Poland and lingering low-level cloud cover that has limited daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average high of about 19°C. Minor variations in model timing for partial clearing or subtle wind shifts account for the near-even market-implied odds between 12°C and 14°C, while the modest 9.4% on 15°C or higher reflects only limited upside potential if insolation exceeds current projections. Traders are closely tracking the final 24-hour model updates ahead of resolution via official measurements at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where small observational differences can shift the exact maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
13°C 29%
14°C 29%
12°C 22.7%
15°C or higher 9.2%
신규
$18,993 거래량
신규
$18,993 거래량
2026.05.17
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C
23%
13°C
29%
14°C
29%
15°C or higher
9%
13°C 29%
14°C 29%
12°C 22.7%
15°C or higher 9.2%
신규
$18,993 거래량
신규
$18,993 거래량
2026.05.17
5°C or below
$660 거래량
<1%
6°C
$979 거래량
<1%
7°C
$435 거래량
<1%
8°C
$683 거래량
<1%
9°C
$855 거래량
<1%
10°C
$2,518 거래량
1%
11°C
$2,614 거래량
8%
12°C
$1,635 거래량
23%
13°C
$2,552 거래량
29%
14°C
$3,433 거래량
29%
15°C or higher
$2,629 거래량
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent cool northerly airflow across central Poland and lingering low-level cloud cover that has limited daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average high of about 19°C. Minor variations in model timing for partial clearing or subtle wind shifts account for the near-even market-implied odds between 12°C and 14°C, while the modest 9.4% on 15°C or higher reflects only limited upside potential if insolation exceeds current projections. Traders are closely tracking the final 24-hour model updates ahead of resolution via official measurements at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where small observational differences can shift the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$18,993종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent cool northerly airflow across central Poland and lingering low-level cloud cover that has limited daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average high of about 19°C. Minor variations in model timing for partial clearing or subtle wind shifts account for the near-even market-implied odds between 12°C and 14°C, while the modest 9.4% on 15°C or higher reflects only limited upside potential if insolation exceeds current projections. Traders are closely tracking the final 24-hour model updates ahead of resolution via official measurements at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where small observational differences can shift the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$18,993종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 13°C in Warsaw on May 17, driven by persistent cool northerly airflow across central Poland and lingering low-level cloud cover that has limited daytime heating well below the mid-May climatological average high of about 19°C. Minor variations in model timing for partial clearing or subtle wind shifts account for the near-even market-implied odds between 12°C and 14°C, while the modest 9.4% on 15°C or higher reflects only limited upside potential if insolation exceeds current projections. Traders are closely tracking the final 24-hour model updates ahead of resolution via official measurements at Warsaw Chopin Airport, where small observational differences can shift the exact maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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